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Private Trading

Educational Chart

December 2019

Another Short Story - The Diamond Pattern
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Published 18 December 2019

Another Short Story - The Diamond Pattern - December 2019

Chart published on Trading View.

Papa Bear has had many short stories to tell and this is just another one of them. This one is special though. It has a diamond in it. 🙂

Big Brother attempted to re-test the descending triangle which formed in the third term of 2019. It attempted and it failed.

Often hard to decipher, diamond patterns tend to resemble a head and shoulders pattern with a little bit of a skew. While it is hard to imagine this happening in real life, in this short story, the diamond broke.

In its making, the diamond formed two trend-lines, giving clues as to its direction on the yellow brick road. One line served as support (lower – black) and the other which serves as resistance (outer – yellow). Confirmation of its route was the crossing of the black support line along with lots of little breadcrumbs it dropped along the way:

1. An increase in volume (bottom of the chart).
2. Increasing negative MacD.
3. Bearish cross in stochastic.

How does this story end? Papa Bear’s journey could be curvy, windy or downright straight and narrow. It depends on how much honey it finds along the way.

Its predicted final destination is marked on the chart (which coincidentally aligns with my analysis – Snookered or Not? – yes I’m always looking for confirmations. 🙂 ). Should it decide it found a pot of sticky gold off the beaten track (yellow resistance line) it’s journey will be invalidated.

 

 

Update 8 January 2020

The diamond was invalidated by its move off course.

 

 

Update 13 March 2020

The final short target on the chart was hit right on point. So while the pattern was invalidated, the final target was eventually hit.

The target(s) and/or pattern(s) on this chart is only theory and not a trade signal of any kind. Always do your own research before trading.

Past performance isn’t an indicator of future performance.